2020 Dynasty Mock draft

Part 2

January 16, 2020

Intro by: Tommy Mo

Part 2 of this Dynasty Mock Draft for the 2020 season continues with Rounds 6 through 10, with each fantasy analyst's synopsis of each player picked in these final five rounds of this startup draft. These next five round are typically where teams begin to build depth, select the remaining positions needed to round out a starting lineup, and begin to find real value in players selected below their Average Draft Position (ADP). The twelve fantasy analysts that participated in this mock draft are writers, content creators, and veterans in the fantasy football game from the following websites: 2on1FantasySports.com, cantcutlist.com, pauliesleepers.com, profootballnetwork.com, ffastronauts.com, createarank.com, and truenorthffb.com. Each analyst's twitter handle is provided next to their draft selection, make sure you reach out on twitter to give your take on the picks, strategies, and player values shown in this article. As the offseason progresses there will be many more mock drafts to come but this first one gives a blueprint for the near future. Part 1 here.

Round 6

6.01- Devin Singletary - RB, Buffalo

(D Brown - @DBrownFF88 - Sons of Dynasty & The Undroppables)

As the 2019 season unfolded one thing became clear, Singletary is the new workhorse back in Buffalo. From week 8 on, he averaged 70+% of snaps, and received a minimum of 15 carries in 6 of 8 of those games. With only Frank “Father Time” Gore taking touches away, Singletary will take over this backfield completely in no time. We have seen the benefits of having dual threat QB Josh Allen, creating lanes for the young playmaker out of Florida Atlantic. Singletary averaging 5.1 yards per carry, ranks 3rd in “Big Run Rate” (7.3%), and 3rd in “Juke Rate” (33.3%) showing just how dangerous he can be in the open field. The Bills found success in 2019 and have one of the stoutest defenses in the NFL, offering upside to the rushing game. Singletary is a Top 15 back in dynasty formats and a solid RB2.

6.02- Zach Ertz - TE, Philadelphia

(Paul Lundgaard - @pauliessleepers - pauliessleepers.com & The Undroppables)

If you follow me on Twitter, you know I was very high on Michael Gallup and Devin Singletary last summer. Both were the next two players on my list but this is what happens when you draft with sharks and DBrown scooped them both up. But look who is still available somehow. Zach Ertz, in a TE premium format! The last TE drafted was Evan Engram at the 3.05 and I’m now getting Ertz with my 6.02. This is my best value pick so far. Ertz isn’t on contract after next year and that is probably why he slipped but he shouldn’t have slipped that far. People say Dallas Goedert caps Ertz’ value but I don’t see it that way as Ertz still sees a whopping 90% of snaps. I look at this like a WR1/WR2 situation similar to Julio and Ridley in Atlanta. Does Ridley take away from Julio? Hell no he doesn’t.

6.03- Austin Ekeler - RB, Los Angeles Chargers

(Jake - @Dabeezybff - Sons of Dynasty & The Undroppables)

So looking to add a bit more to the RB core i was stoked to see Ekeler sitting there. The biggest question mark here is what do the Chargers to replace Gordon who is gone in free agency. Ekeler finished as a top 5 back in ppr and showed he could handle the load. He saw 132 attempts for 557 yds and 3 tds. The money though is the 92 receptions on 108 targets for 993 yds and 8 tds. I believe they move forward with the 1 2 punch of Ekeler and Jackson and Ekeler usage in the pass game gives him a safe floor and a high ceiling going in to 20.

6.04- D.K. Metcalf - WR, Seattle

(Dan - @awlsabermetrics - 2on1: Fantasy Sports)

I had a few running backs in mind here, but I thought at least one or two would drop to me in the seventh. It turns out they didn’t but I can make it work- no worries. Wide Receiver wise the few that went after my pick were really all in play for me. I really like F1, Deebo is going to be a steal for people, Kirk in the Arizona offense should really pop, and Boyd a few picks away is also someone I really like. To be honest I could have really gone with any of them and been happy. But, I decided to go with Metcalf for a couple reasons, not least of which was the Wilson stack. I believe Wilson will continue to be an elite Quarterback for years to come and Metcalf at only 22 years old (a year younger or more from the next few wide receivers off the board) should be a major benefactor throughout Wilson’s career. Now he was obviously aided playing time wise and option wise with the injury to Dissly (especially in the endzone), but he still saw 100 targets and put up 900 yards and 7 touchdowns, all with a pretty dismal catch rate of 58%. A little less volume, but more efficient with his looks seem very realistic to me. And what is nice, we already have a great example of that with his counterpart Tyler Lockett. Wilson may not throw as much as others, but he does throw a very fantasy friendly pass, and stacking recipients of those passes is something I would like to do. O and for what it’s worth, Lockett is set to be a free agent after the 2021 season at 29/30 years old for 2022. Metcalf could find himself as the WR1 for Wilson in the not so distant future.

6.05- Terry McLaurin - WR, Washington

(Travis Seel - @TSeel14 - True North Fantasy Football)

What a season for Terry F1 McLaurin! Missing 2 games due to injury, McLaurin finished 2019 as the WR27 with 58 receptions on 93 targets for 919 yards and 7 touchdowns. That performance cannot be discounted when you consider he endured season long Quarterback uncertainty on an offense not only stuck, but camped out in the mud.

While Washington historically has an appetite for dysfunction, they believe they have a future franchise quarterback in Dwayne Haskins (McLaurin’s college teammate in case you didn’t know) and their recent hiring of Ron Rivera as Head Coach is an encouraging sign for them gaining stability. Washington will surely look to add passing game weapons which should only help McLaurin as he seemed like the only show in town at times this season and could benefit from another threat drawing defensive attention. Second year breakouts for Wide Receivers are becoming a common trend so I wanted to make sure I was a year early on McLaurin’s because his price is only going to go up!

Roster build wise, Terry McLaurin as my WR2 feels risky given the current state of the offense. I was happy to bet on the talent and thought I'd be able to adequately stock up in the coming rounds. Having McLaurin's youth and upside will be great for my team's long term outlook.

6.06- Deebo Samuel - WR, San Francisco

(Tommy Garrett - @TommyGarrettPFN - Pro Football Network)

I'll be honest; I love this pick so much. I needed a WR2 to pair with A.J. Brown and to grab Deebo Samuel in the 6th to be that guy is as good as I could have hoped. Once he got rolling in San Francisco, Samuel was a yardage monster. Samuel finished the season as the second-best wide receiver in yards after the catch/reception at 8.3 yards, only behind A.J. Brown (8.9). He finished the regular season with 57 catches for 802 yards, 159 rush yards, and six touchdowns, highlighted by an eight-game stretch with 697 scrimmage yards to end the year. Samuel fits everything I want in a WR when building a team. Young, advanced route tree, hyper-talented, and doesn't require red zone targets to have a solid week. Take him in this range and enjoy the production for years to come.

6.07 - Cam Newton - QB, Carolina

(Scott - @DynoGameTheory - Createarank.com)

Risk/Reward and positional scarcity. These are the two main reasons for taking Cam Newton in this spot. Unless you think he is never playing again, Cam will be back and given a full opportunity to lead a team. If it’s Carolina, I’d like that. DJ, CMC and crew are a great supporting cast. But even if it’s somewhere else, he still has QB1 upside and with his rushing history, he has a pretty safe floor. The injuries are scary as hell, but they are baked into the price here. Cam at QB19 is never happening if we know he is fully healthy.

The QBs are getting a little thin and I always want to leave a Superflex dynasty startup with at least 3 starting QBs. And with only 32 to go around, it gets thin quickly.

6.08- Christian Kirk - WR, Arizona

(Andrew Hall - @AndrewHallFF - Pro Football Network)

Back on the clock and looking for a WR. I full expect Larry Fitzgerald to retire this off-season, but even if he doesn’t, WR Christian Kirk should be a perfect WR2 for my team. He’s young and growing alongside a young gunslinging quarterback on a high-powered offense. Kirk had a quiet 2019 but I think he’s in for big things in dynasty and should be considered a high upside WR2 in most formats.

On top of that, pairing him with Thomas puts my WR corps in a good place. I could have picked Thielen or Hilton but both of them are just as risky and are a few years older. When building a new dynasty team everyone tends to prefer youth, so the odds of Kirk making it back to me feel low. Gotta get my guy here.

6.09- Marlon Mack - RB, Indianapolis

(Chalk - @101chalk - The Undroppables)

As I inadvertently went “Zero RB” for the first 5 rounds, focusing on the core pieces of QB and TE along with some young WR talent, I decided to seek the best RB value on the board and came across the intersection of the next 2 picks (Hunt and Carson). Along with Mack, these 3 backs are in the same tier, each possessing immense upside coupled with potentially troublesome question marks. Mack finds himself in a struggling offense and lacks pass catching upside. At the same time, Mack posted over 1,000 yards rushing while averaging over 17 touches a game and never coughed up the ball. Hunt is a restricted free agent under the Browns control and without a lead role, he is stuck as a low-end RB2 at best. I am just a little concerned that the Browns do something terrible and overpay another talented (but unnecessary) RB. And I love Carson but the guy just can’t hold onto the ball and that is a pet-peeve of mine which caused me to go with Mack (although in hindsight, Carson was probably the right call here).

6.10- Kareem Hunt - RB, Cleveland

(JetPack Galileo - @JetPackGalileo - Fantasy Football Astronauts)

After locking up studs at each position, I feel comfortable gambling here. Instead of gambling on injury (Chris Carson) I’m rolling the dice on talent in Kareem Hunt. Although it is risky, I believe a team will make a trade for the Pro Bowler. Soon as he touched the field in Cleveland, he found fantasy relevance as a “second stringer.” Kareem had a phenomenally high snap share over the last 8 games at 59.9% (compared to Nick Chubb’s 63.9%). He even outsnapped Chubb 3 times. As incompetent as Kitchens was, he knew he had to give Kareem reps, the talent is undeniable. At just 24 years old, my risk is minimized by Kareem’s youth. Whether 2020 or 2021, Kareem will be on a new team and find himself back in elite territory.

6.11- Chris Carson - RB, Seattle

(Randal K - @FF_Terminator - The Undroppables)

Despite missing the seasons final week with a fractured hip, Seattle’s Bell Cow closed 2019 with 1,498 yards and 9 total touchdowns. I’m beyond thrilled to have waited this long to address the running back position and wind up with a guy as solid as Carson. Some of my competitors wondered loudly what my strategy would look like after waiting this long and I actually considered waiting one more round, but with Tommy having already spent a 3rd round pick on Travis Kelce I was confident my second option (TE Austin Hooper) would come back to me.

What many of my competitors seem to have forgotten is that in this hypothetical dynasty league we still have a rookie draft to navigate. And it is loaded with running back talent! And If the last few years have taught us anything it’s that rookie running backs almost always have an immediate impact. And they are much easier to find/replace than stud quarterbacks. So with the combination of a steady vet or two and some rookies, I believe I’ll have more than enough punch from my RBs!

6.12- Le’Veon Bell - RB, New York Jets

(Tommy Mo - @2on1FFB - 2on1: Fantasy Sports)

My strategy for drafting is always to go with consistency for a minimum of 5 rounds, but ideally as long as you can with consistent players still on the board. After that, go upside. And you might be wondering where Le'veon Bell fits into that strategy, but a talented RB like Bell is bound to have a resurgence in his 2nd year back in the game. Even though 2019 wasn’t stellar for Bell, he was still the RB16 in PPR formats and his numbers should improve in 2020 either because Gase finally figures out how to use a RB, or because Bell feels even more comfortable running behind this O Line, or because he gets traded to a run-competent team.

I’ve now drafted my 3rd player 26+ years old in the first 6 rounds of this dynasty startup draft, which is risky and a strategy some people avoid completely. But again, if I can get 3 years of high production out of those players I’m happy. Additionally, since I like to build teams with 3 solid RBs, Bell still has the running and pass-catching ability to put up RB1/2 numbers. With plenty of skill position players on the roster, an offseason investment in the offensive line would bode extremely well for Bell and Darnold. Plus, worst case scenario, Gase doesn’t want Bell back next year and he lands on a team that can really use his talent, a low risk move since he’s the RB3 on my team.

Round 7

7.01- Ryan Tannehill - QB, Tennessee

(Tommy Mo - @2on1FFB - 2on1: Fantasy Sports)

Ryan Tannehill pulled a complete 180 on the 2019 season, coming in with very little value as a backup, and leaving with a ton of upside and the new heir apparent in Tennessee. It hasn’t been officially announced, but Ryan has effectively taken the job from Mariota, and in doing so, led the Titans to a playoff appearance. Getting the start in week 7, Tannehill put up respectable numbers throwing for 2,598 yards, 22 TDs, and only 5 INTs. He led the NFL with a 117.5 passer rating (℅ @NFL_Stats), and he completed 70% of pass attempts that were 9+ yards (℅ @WingfieldNFL). He raised the game of everyone around him, turning AJ Brown into a top fantasy WR target for 2020. And he opened up the game for the offense, for example, since he took over in week 7 the Titans ranked 1st in yards per play, 1st in yards per rushing attempt, and 1st in yards per passing attempt (℅ @ScottBarrettDFB). And lastly, per @PFF he was the highest graded QB of 2019 with a 92.5% grade, ahead of Drew Brees, Russell Wilson, Patrick Mahomes, and everyone else. He certainly will enter 2020 with a ton of upside.

7.02- Austin Hooper - TE, Atlanta

(Randal K - @FF_Terminator - The Undroppables)

Many people predicted an Austin Hooper breakout coming in 2019 and those of you who snagged him late in drafts were not disappointed. Not even a late season MCL sprain could keep him from posting the best season of his career to date. Hooper finished with 75 receptions for 787 yards and six touchdowns in just 13 games. And was the overall TE1 through the seasons first nine weeks. The 25 year old California native is set to become a free agent in March, and perhaps that's why he fell down the board a bit as the Falcons have yet to engage him in talks. But no matter where he spends his future he will almost certainly be productive and snagging him this late in a TE premium league feels like stealing.

7.03- Drew Brees - QB, New Orleans

(JetPack Galileo - @JetPackGalileo - Fantasy Football Astronauts)

Drew Brees is my last stand at Superflex’s make or break position: QB2. We had a surprising early run in the 5th round, but 2 guys I consider to be in the same tier were available late, Tannehill and Brees. Fantasy finishes are fool’s gold as injuries modify value drastically. Don’t be distracted by the ulnar collateral surgery that held Brees out for 5 weeks. He scored 20.4 PPG, 7th best in the league. Soon to be 41 years old, it makes sense that Brees has fallen as far as he has, but I’m happy to find a young QB in 2021, for now I’ll take the value of another quarterback playing behind a stellar offensive line with a fantastic playcaller.

7.04- Derrius Guice - RB, Washington

(Chalk - @101chalk - The Undroppables)

One of the most exciting yet enigmatic prospects in recent memory, Guice could pan out into perennial stud for the next 5-6 years or a “what could have been” pipe dream. As stated earlier, my last two picks were running backs as the RB talent pool from here gets fairly shallow and I’d rather take a chance on Derrius Guice than Lindsay, Montgomery, Ingram and even Kenyan Drake (who I debated here). But if I am debating between Guice (who has top 10 potential IF he can somehow miraculously stay healthy) or Drake (who broke out in a major way with Arizona but finds himself in an extremely unpredictable situation with David Johnson and a compelling third string back in Chase Edmonds).

Washington just hired Ron Rivera and based on the new Redskins head coach’s history with running backs, Guice’s 2020 outlook improves even though he’s on IR. Rivera and his defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio will play a hard-nosed, run-heavy scheme predicated on defense so a healthy Guice would see a workhorse type role.

Guice may be coming off two consecutive seasons lost to knee injuries, but he will be turning only 23 in late June and still is one of the most talented backs in the league. Even with a limited sample (5 games in 2019), Guice ran for 245 yards (5.8 yards per carry) and 2 TDs while flashing the explosiveness we’d hope to see.

7.05- David Montgomery - RB, Chicago

(Andrew Hall - @AndrewHallFF - Pro Football Network)

Time to look for my RB2 and a top three 2019 rookie is still available in RB David Montgomery. He had an up and down year with the Bears, and is definitely considered risky, but most RB2s are these days. Putting him with Gordon makes my team riskier than usual but both could also be huge plays come the start of the 2020 season.

Overall, my roster is very balanced: 2 QBs, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, and a TE. In most startups I try to do something like this to avoid having a gap at any particular position, and in a draft like this with all of the sniping it’s important to stay focused and not go on tilt to reach for anyone, especially this early. Now that I’ve got a good base I can start looking for bench and high-floor picks to round out my risky starting squad.

7.06 - Tyler Boyd - WR, Cincinnati

(Scott - @DynoGameTheory - Createarank.com)

Tyler Boyd is now my WR4 on this squad.

  • Tyler Boyd - 25 yrs old - 147 targets
  • D.J. Chark - 23 yrs old - 118 targets
  • Amari Cooper - 25 yrs - 119 targets
  • Chris Godwin - 23 yrs - 120 targets

We can start up to 5 or 6 wide receivers in this league format, so having young depth like this in a PPR format will pay dividends. Add in Fournette who is only 24 years old and saw 100 targets himself this past season and I feel very good about competing early on and dominating in the future. I’ll need to continue to make good decisions to round out this squad. But so far, I like it.

7.07- Hunter Henry - TE, Los Angeles Chargers

(Tommy Garrett - @TommyGarrettPFN - Pro Football Network)

I got sniped hard on this pick on a wide receiver I was banking on grabbing (foreshadowing to what happened again later). Since we can start up to 5 WRs in this league due to the flex spots, Tyler Boyd would have been a perfect fit with Samuel and Brown. Especially since all signs point to Joe Burrow going #1 overall to Cincinnati in the draft. Since this is a TE premium format, that became my next logical pivot since I needed to get one still, and so did 5 of the following 6 drafters. I wanted Austin Hooper and settled on Hunter Henry but had the plan moving forward to get another TE reasonably soon.

I don't love this pick due to his injury history, but when he is on the field, Henry is a stud. He finished as TE9 in 2019 even while missing four games, averaging 12.4 points in PPR scoring. At 6'5" and 25 years old, whoever is going to play QB for the Chargers will look for him in the red zone. I do expect them to either resign or franchise tag Henry this offseason to keep him around. He is my #7 tight in dynasty rankings, so this falls right in line. There are guys on the board who I like better long term, such as Hockenson or Fant. The issue is how long it can take for a talented tight end to develop. I'd love to grab one of them later on and let them hone their craft while I use Henry as my everyday starter.

7.08- Noah Fant - TE, Denver

(Travis Seel - @TSeel14 - True North Fantasy Football)

Fant was drafted with the 20th pick in the 2019 NFL Draft due to his off the charts athletic measurables and stellar college production, scoring 18 touchdowns in his final 2 seasons at Iowa.

Opinions were mixed on Fant’s production outlook as a rookie. He was joining an offense in flux with the Broncos, attached to a Quarterback who historically used Tight Ends heavily in Joe Flacco, and we all know how Tight Ends generally need 2 to 3 year to acclimate to the NFL and produce for Fantasy. Looking at the season as a whole for Fant, we see he cleared the elusive 500 yard benchmark for rookie Tight Ends. In fact, his 562 receiving yards are the 6th most of any rookie TE over the past 20 years. That’s more yardage than the likes of Gronkowski, Kittle, and Mark Andrews had in their rookie seasons. I chose Fant here because, being a Tight End premium league, most of the sure-thing tight ends were off the board already and Fant provided the most upside. I look for him to continue to improve on his solid rookie year, further cementing himself as an offensive focal point alongside Courtland Sutton.

7.09- Dallas Goedert - TE, Philadelphia

(Dan - @awlsabermetrics - 2on1: Fantasy Sports)

Ok, so…. This was a reach, can’t lie. A peak behind the curtains on this one; me sleeping peacefully on my couch, phone notification wakes me up- it’s 11:57 PM, see it is my turn to pick, and rather than just going back to bed and drafting in a few hours, I sleepily decide to make my pick, and lo and behold there has been a mini tight end run. Well it is a TE Premium league, I don’t want to fall behind, and Goedert presents a crazy high ceiling as we have seen what Ertz has done in that offense (and actually Goedert too) and Ertz could be a roster casualty and Dallas could be the TE1 in Philly in a matter of a few short months. So I make the pick and pass back out. For being half asleep, I can see my logic here, being fully awake the next morning, passing up Drake was something I was less than pleased with myself.

But, I made the pick so I have to make it work regardless of how happy I am with it. The Philly offense was a bit of a trainwreck this season due to injuries, which I’m sure played a role in Dallas’s season, but he still finished the 2019 season as a TE1 this season with Ertz still there. He showed to be athletic and a playmaker for Wentz and is making considerably less money than Ertz and is four years his junior. So, if Ertz does get cut to save money, I just locked up an elite tight end spot for the next several years for great value. If I have to wait a few years this pick was a big miss. Such is life in the fantasy game. Luckily, I already have my eye on a few tight end options that I really like for 2020 and beyond that I know I can draft in a few rounds and will help me bolster this pick and protect me if it flops.

7.10- Darren Waller -TE, Oakland

(Jake Besong -@dabeezybff - Sons of Dynasty & The Undroppables)

In a Te premium i needed to make a play here and while i like Waller at this spot he is a question mark for me in 20. He had 90 receptions on a 117 trgts for 1,145 yds and 3 tds. He was a top 5 te this year. Why the hesitation? Is Carr the qb next year? Who do they add in the draft or FA as a wide receiver? Will Moreau eat into his targets? Will he stay on the right path? Theres risk with him but he should come in as a top 8 te in 20 regardless but i do worry about his target volume moving forward.

7.11- Kenyan Drake - RB, Arizona

(Paul Lundgaard - @pauliessleepers - pauliessleepers.com & The Undroppables)

No QB yet and the guys are starting to talk in the chat room. “Paulie going zero QB in Superflex. Insert *it’s a bold strategy, Cotton* gif here. There are a handfull of guys I would be happy with at this point, and based on the other coaches rosters, 3 of them will still be there later. I went with Kenyan Drake because I have always believed in his talent and he is one of several players to flourish once he got out from under Adam Gase’s wing. Drake was the RB3 overall for the last three weeks with a whopping 7 TDs and 87% of the backfields’ touches. He fits great into Kingsburys’ offense and coach knows it. It has now come out that coach actively sought out Drake in trade. It has also come out that David Johnson did not fit in the “RPO” scheme and he has even reportedly offered to return kicks next year. Yes, this is what it has come to, DJ asking to work special teams to stay relevant. Could the Cardinals draft a high profile RB or get one in free agency next year? Sure, it’s possible. But why would they when they have so many holes and they have already found the perfect fit? Drake has hella upside as my RB3 and I firmly believe he will be the starter in 2020.

7.12- Robert Woods - WR, Los Angeles Rams

(D Brown - @DBrownFF88 - Sons of Dynasty & The Undroppables)

Approaching the turn of Rounds 7 and 8, I glance over my roster to check positional needs. Thus far, I have 2 QBs, 2RBs, and 2 WRs. Wanting to continue filling my starters, leaves me with TE, RB, WR. I’m a firm believer in locking up a Top 5 TE or punting the position until later in the draft. I was hoping perhaps that Hooper may fall to me here, but he went along with 4 others forcing me to wait on TE yet again. This now has me looking for a RB/WR combo. I selected Woods as the BPA on the board giving me a solid WR3.

The last 2 years under McVay, Woods has been a consistent weapon in a powerful offense reaching 130+ targets in each season. These numbers prove to be enough for the WR11 and WR14 finish in PPR formats. In both seasons Woods was able to eclipse 1,000 yards. While Brandon Cooks may be getting faded in this offense with the emergence of the Rams TE (Everette, Higbee), Woods has remained a “go to” target for Goff having a minimum of 9 Targets their last 6 games. Woods has a few more years of solid production and makes for a great WR3 on any team. My WR core now consists of Golladay, Gallup, and Woods. Great mix of consistency, youth, and upside.